Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 12.548171 14.704671 17.061111 19.819396 22.951307 26.388559 30.437748
2025-03-16 8.168392 10.887148 14.185086 18.442359 23.750654 30.106662 38.243443
2025-03-23 6.427177 9.482421 13.501147 19.085802 26.543297 36.045179 48.934903
2025-03-30 5.359379 8.615850 13.198017 19.959459 29.495103 42.249041 60.337377
2025-04-06 4.227261 7.380612 12.110706 19.490977 30.431331 45.715901 68.264164
2025-04-13 3.262274 6.176719 10.827894 18.480510 30.365632 47.649981 74.077908
2025-04-20 2.921016 5.904359 10.906504 19.486190 33.299470 54.012255 86.549640
2025-04-27 2.687089 5.765133 11.161136 20.765377 36.725204 61.302416 100.820577
2025-05-04 2.349403 5.366493 10.906413 21.148680 38.723988 66.522845 112.271650
2025-05-11 2.002949 4.879239 10.415186 21.047586 39.882199 70.465666 121.948806
2025-05-18 1.680537 4.372456 9.806237 20.646963 40.463100 73.477032 130.284512
2025-05-25 1.419712 3.941610 9.274077 20.309144 41.092119 76.564914 138.869760
2025-06-01 1.188150 3.543344 8.781465 20.055827 41.973897 80.349089 149.213483
2025-06-08 0.909979 2.961891 7.812225 18.750743 40.821823 80.624253 153.836273
2025-06-15 0.816413 2.832565 7.812120 19.420378 43.462159 87.718638 170.523097
2025-06-22 0.747636 2.753557 7.912976 20.310483 46.601199 95.900325 189.556849
2025-06-29 0.615202 2.449465 7.420641 19.835572 46.959769 99.011383 199.789706
2025-07-06 0.481756 2.095269 6.730970 18.809873 46.069188 99.699757 205.663694
2025-07-13 0.451704 2.075135 6.908856 19.830857 49.564042 108.934073 227.652796
2025-07-20 0.433480 2.091956 7.189605 21.129325 53.754717 119.746777 253.089510
2025-07-27 0.385924 1.985314 7.106146 21.518370 55.982041 126.832222 271.868728
2025-08-03 0.330276 1.826764 6.842276 21.415763 57.097319 131.761626 286.785266
2025-08-10 0.275343 1.648225 6.481322 21.009134 57.473939 135.203474 298.986614